Will 2025 be the final Manifest?
20
Ṁ762
2027
14%
chance

Resolves NO if there is a Manifest conference held in 2026. Otherwise, resolves YES, unless there is no Manifest in 2025 (because then 2024 would be the final Manifest).

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The description implies that this is market about whether there will be a Manifest in 2026, not whether 2025 will have been the last Manifest. I suggest that either the title or the description be changed.

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