Will my net worth be above Ṁ30,000 in a week?
Will my net worth be above Ṁ30,000 in a week?
8
Ṁ228Apr 13
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if my net worth is greater than Ṁ30,000 at 18:00 PDT on April 12th.
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bought Ṁ25 NO5d
out of curiosity, what happens if we all bet no, and you bet yes and resolve YES and your net worth goes above 30000 because of this question
@Qoiuoiuoiu It resolves based on my net worth, even if shenanigans influence the outcome. However, I promise not to bet in this market!
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Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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