Will there be commercial flying cars by Eoy 2024?
➕
Plus
55
Ṁ3690
Dec 26
6%
chance

As quoted by "The Week":
It seems 2024 could finally be the year that so-called "flying cars" take to the skies. Technically known as eVTOL aircraft, standing for "electric vertical take-off and landing", dozens of companies around the world have been in a race to develop a "quieter, cheaper and emission-free aircraft, that can land right in the heart of cities", said the BBC's technology of business editor Ben Morris.

These could become commercially available in some US cities in 2024, reported CNBC, even if "regulations for managing the new form of air traffic will be a concern". 

Hugh Martin, from Lacuna Technologies, which helps cities create transportation policies, told the news network there was a difference between when cars can fly and when they will be safe and reliable for navigating the skies.

It was hoped the world's first electric air taxi network would be available in time for the Paris Olympics but the city council has rejected the pioneering scheme as noisy, elitist and pointless. Enter Donald Trump, who has set out a vision of a Jetsons-inspired commute should he be re-elected in November.

Remark: This can mean private, expensive, invite lists in any city around the world where you can be in a flying car from one place to another (possibly like Waymo in SF).

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Gasoline-powered flying cars (a.k.a. helicopters) have been flying for decades, and are occasionally used for taxi purposes. Shouldn't this resolve YES by default?

predictedYES

@dph121 Flying cars usually implies that the average person will own one (or be likely to own one in the near future). It also implies that the average home has facilities to store them and that they can drive on roads.

Helicopters aren't widely owned and very few homes have a helipad. I do see your point but it would be misleading if I just resolved as yes right now.

predictedYES

@grofigaszadosijv

Remark: This can mean private, expensive, invite lists in any city around the world where you can be in a flying car from one place to another

This remark in your description seems in contradiction with your comment.

predictedYES

@dph121 True but a flying car would mean it can reliably go on the road and can also fly which a helicopter can't do (unless you move it with something else like a truck).

@grofigaszadosijv I don't think I've seen a media depiction of flying cars that could move horizontally on surface roads. Most of them don't have wheels, afaik.

This title and description leave ambiguous resolution criteria. Flying cars commercially available in US and European capitals? No. A city, where passengers from a private invite list can take flights on order, maybe not even on demand.

It’s not clear how the market would resolve, at what threshold of rollout. What observations in the world.

predictedYES

@mcint Might be too late but thats what I meant

@grofigaszadosijv I don't think it's too late for clarifications at all; that's a fairly common thing for questions to need and it's good to do them as promptly as reasonably possible. Sometimes that's shortly after the question opens, sometimes much later. The big thing to avoid, IMO, is "clarifications" that drastically change the meaning of the question or conflict with the obvious reading of the old title or description. In those cases it's often better to go "oops" and either leave the question as is or resolve N/A, and then make a new question that does a better job asking about what you were trying for.

Also, I suspect you want a close date for this question closer to the end of the year (or even shortly after, to account for reporting delays and such).

predictedYES
Comment hidden
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules