Will DeepMind researchers win a Fields Medal before 2030?
➕
Plus
34
Ṁ11k
2029
1.8%
chance

This market is intended to measure the probability of a major breakthrough in mathematics with AI by DeepMind researchers.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,250 NO

Literally they have to win at ICM 2026 lol free money, ICM 2030 doesn't happen BEFORE 2030

Even if some Fields-medal-worthy mathematics comes out of DeepMind in the near future, it is still unlikely that the researchers will receive the Fields medal, given the rules of who it is given to (mathematicians under the age of 40, 2-4 individuals every four years).

☠️

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules