When will Manifold IPO?
When will Manifold IPO?
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ2244
2031
0.5%
2023
0.8%
2024
4%
2025
4%
2026
3%
2027
4%
2028
3%
2029
2%
2030
78%
Not by the end of 2030

Resolves the year that manifold IPO's.

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1y

@ian Just to make sure: If Manifold is acquired by a public company, that's not an IPO right? So it resolves to "not by 2030"?

1y

This site is super interesting but I have no idea how y’all are going to be profitable

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
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