Will Aubrey de Grey get AIDS by 2035
Basic
3
Ṁ1452036
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
https://www.cdc.gov/hiv/group/age/diagnoses.html says only ~2700 people are diagnosed with HIV in the USA (which I assume comes with AIDS) every year, so ~30k people of this age will get it by 2035. But also the USA has over 50M people in this age group overall, which suggests the chance is <0.1%.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Aubrey de Grey be dead before his 80th birthday?
36% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
36% chance
By 2060, will there be a cure to aging?
56% chance
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
12% chance
Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?
30% chance
Will aging be cured by 2100?
49% chance
By 2070, will there be a cure to aging?
67% chance
Will a vaccine for HIV be a available in the US or Europe by 2030?
48% chance
By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?
46% chance
Will Aubrey de Grey be re-instated in SOME role by SENS by 2025?
22% chance