Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 1, 2026?
Premium
40
Ṁ63k2026
93%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if on January 1 2026 Donald Trump is the President of the USA.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@itsTomekK is there any difference in the resolution criteria (other than the date) between this market and your market about 12/31/25? I'm completely baffled by the spread between the two markets, especially given the logical implausibility of Trump being President on 1/1/26 but not on 12/31/25.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump, Jimmy Carter, and Alex Jones all be alive by January 1st, 2025?
92% chance
Will Donald Trump be the President of the USA on December 31, 2025?
89% chance
Will Donald Trump be President of the United States on December 30th, 2025?
89% chance
Will Trump be President at any point in 2029?
80% chance
Will Trump be president in 2026 when America celebrates it’s 250th anniversary?
79% chance
Will Trump still be president in June 2030 (given a 2025 presidency)?
15% chance
Will Donald Trump be president on January 19, 2029?
88% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president of the US in the 2048 election?
7% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive through inauguration day, January 20th, 2025?
92% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive by 31 December 2026?
87% chance