Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
Plus
23
Ṁ12902027
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Futuur:
Luís Inácio Lula da Silva's term as President of Brazil covers 4 years beginning on [January] 1st, 2023, and ending on December 31st, 2026. If he does not finish his term – be it due to impeachment, disease, death, renouncing, having his mandate declared invalid by the judiciary authorities, or any other reason – this market will resolve to "No". If Congress passes an amendment to the constitution modifying the length of upcoming presidential terms, and that alters Lula's term as well, this market will be canceled and active wagers will be returned to their respective forecasters.
[Fixed typo to correct month]
This market will resolve to match Futuur's resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Lula still be President of Brazil on March 1st 2025? 🇧🇷🗳️
73% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
33% chance
Will Lula's government have an approval rating of 50% or higher on December 31st, 2024?
47% chance
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
55% chance
By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
57% chance
Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?
51% chance
Will Lula da Silva still be alive through the end of 2024?
98% chance
During a 4 month period, will Lula score a 55%+ approval rating by 2 or more major pooling outlets during his current term?
74% chance
Will Lula be impeached?
7% chance
Will Marcos do Val complete his term as Brazilian Senator?
81% chance