Resolves based on whole-year comparisons of National Crime Victimization Survey data (https://bjs.ojp.gov/programs/ncvs) between 2022 and 2023, for "violent crime excluding simple assault," which includes murder, nonnegligent manslaughter, rape/sexual assault, robbery, and aggravated assault. The rate of violent crime excluding simple assault was 2.91 per 1000 in 2021.
Will resolve as soon as I become aware that NCVS data for 2023 has been posted. Data for 2021 was published in October 2022.
Resolves N/A if NCVS data for 2023 does not become available in 2024, or if like-to-like comparison becomes impossible.
1,000
3.00The NCVS data reveals trends in violent crime excluding simple assault (murder, rape, robbery, etc.). We're awaiting the 2023 report to compare it to 2021's rate of 2.91 per 1000. Thinking about navigating these stats reminds me of the Slope Game, always trying to find the best path! This prediction hinges on the data's availability in 2024 and comparable metrics. US politics and crime are the focus.