[Metaculus] Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?
[Metaculus] Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?
➕
Plus
41
Ṁ1340
2031
73%
chance

Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question resolves as Yes if on December 31, 2030, Python occupies first place of the TIOBE Index rankings. If Python is not in first place on that date, the question resolves as No.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
8mo

Please keep in mind that TIOBE and by proxy this market do not correspond to actual real-world use of the language: https://nindalf.com/posts/stop-citing-tiobe/

11mo

Similar question with different answer options:

When will Python lose the first position on TIOBE Index leaderboard?

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules