If an international AI regulation body is created before 2025, does Yudkowsky hold a position there?
Plus
13
Ṁ793resolved Jan 1
Resolved
N/A1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to yes if before 2025, there's an organization focused on AI governance or alignment, backed by at least two countries, and Yudkowsky holds some formal position there.
Resolves to N/A if no international body governing AI with the UK participating exists before 2025.
Resolves to No otherwise.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI video generation hold up in 2024?
46% chance
Which well-known scientist will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a long recorded conversation with about AI risk, before 2026?
If an international AI regulation body is created before 2025, is Yudkowsky invited to hold a position?
14% chance
Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI babysitters hold up by Feb 2028?
46% chance
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
61% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?
20% chance
Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?
30% chance
[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?
73% chance
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
66% chance
Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 50% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?
29% chance