2028 Democratic nominee?
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151
Ṁ120k
2028
31%
Other
14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Gavin Newsom
13%
Pete Buttigieg
10%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Kamala Harris
3%
Cory Booker
3%
Gretchen Whitmer
2%
Tim Walz
1.5%
Stephen A. Smith
1.5%
No 2028 Election
1.4%
Andy Beshear
1.1%
Jared Polis

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

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Andrew Cuomo, as much as it saddens me to say it

27% chance of nominating the governor of the most "woke" state after Trump was elected in party on a backlash to that. I suppose the pendulum could swing again. But I expect the post-Trump backlash to be driven by economic concerns.

There was a pretty big arb available with the other market.

reposted

Added another 10K liquidity.

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