2028 Democratic nominee?
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Premium
140
Ṁ100k
2028
35%
Other
14%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Josh Shapiro
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Kamala Harris
6%
Pete Buttigieg
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
3%
Cory Booker
3%
Tim Walz
3%
Andy Beshear
2%
No 2028 Election
2%
Stephen A. Smith
1.6%
Jared Polis

Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" for the candidate officially nominated by the Democratic Party for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, as confirmed by the party's official announcement or at the Democratic National Convention. If no candidate is nominated, it will resolve to "No."

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27% chance of nominating the governor of the most "woke" state after Trump was elected in party on a backlash to that. I suppose the pendulum could swing again. But I expect the post-Trump backlash to be driven by economic concerns.

There was a pretty big arb available with the other market.

reposted

Added another 10K liquidity.

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