Will "the USA and the whole world burn" during Trump's term?
Basic
15
Ṁ8632029
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A global conflict or lots of strife and smaller wars, or some other catastrophe at least indirectly caused by or involving the Trump administration.
https://bsky.app/profile/bladeofthes.bsky.social/post/3lgazwndnrs2i
--
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
--
Inspired by the Rumble market series by @CodeandSolder
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Hyper inflation in the US will resolve the market to YES. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
5% chance
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Will Trump get a third term in office?
7% chance
If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'?
80% chance
Will there be another major US intelligence incident in this Trump term? (Post-Atlantic)
85% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive at the end of his term?
Will a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
30% chance
If Trump wins the US presidential election, will at least 100 people die in riots/protests against his presidency?
6% chance
Will Donald Trump outlive the United States of America?
3% chance
What will happen during Trump's second term?