Will I qualify for an International Olympiad this year?
➕
Plus
7
Ṁ1513
Jun 2
28%
chance

Background

International Olympiads are prestigious academic competitions held annually in various subjects like mathematics, physics, chemistry, biology, informatics, earth science, and astronomy/astrophysics. Each country typically sends a team of 4-6 students selected through rigorous national competitions and training camps. The selection process is highly competitive, with typically less than 1% of participants making it to the international level

I am preparing for both qualifying for IESO (International Earth Science Olympiad) and IOAA (International Olympiad in Astronomy and Astrophysics). I have not previously qualified for the international stage of any olympiad. I live in the United States, and I am currently a junior in high school.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if I:

  1. Successfully complete all qualifying rounds in my country's selection process for the 2024-2025 season

  2. Am officially selected as a member of the national team

  3. Meet all eligibility requirements (age, academic status, etc.)

The market will resolve NO if any of the above criteria are not met, or if I:

  • Fail to advance through any stage of the qualification process

  • Qualify for the alternate team but not the main team

  • Am disqualified for any reason

  • Withdraw from the selection process

  • Do not meet eligibility requirements

Additional Notes

I will be allowed to bet on this market, however I am only allowed to buy YES shares. I will answer further questions in the comments, and keep this updated. I expect many people to buy NO shares due to the difficulty of this feat.

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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bought Ṁ58 NO

If you make black MOP I'll give you 200 manifold dollars

bought Ṁ50 NO

Have you previously qualified, or gotten close to qualifying?

Have not previously qualified. Made top 40 for Earth Science Olympiad last year.

if you make ieso/ioaa ill give you 33 cents

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