At the end of 2026 what will be the oldest Manifold market that is still open? [ADD RESPONSES]
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Ṁ16462027
47%
Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years? https://manifold.markets/CeceliaChuh/will-circular-economy-become-mainst
41%
8%
Will there be US Constitutional reform by 2027? https://manifold.markets/PaulElliottWilliams/will-there-be-us-constitutional-ref
3%
Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor? https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-ray-kurzweil-win-his-2029-turi
1.2%
If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election? https://manifold.markets/Tetraspace/if-kamala-harris-becomes-the-democr
Have to be real markets with traders and resolvable criteria by my judgement
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This is the oldest that currently has a close date set after the end of 2026.
"circular economy" is a real concept, as far as I can tell this is a meaningful, resolvable market:
@chrisjbillington Actually that's a lie, this one below about a reddit IPO is the oldest with a close date past end of 2026, but I expect an early resolution for it:
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