Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?
Basic
30
αΉ€5258
2031
24%
Other
1.3%

Link: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards

  • Update 2025-10-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The first user to reach 10M mana must achieve this through legitimate profit (as determined by the creator).

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αΉ€1,000
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t

ta

'legitimate profit'

taa

i feel like if it wasnt 'legitimite profit' other ppl would have also broken this and it would have resolved, there have been a few exploits in the past

Why is Tumbles not an option?

@TheAllMemeingEye why couldn't I see it?!

@TheAllMemeingEye dude you are everywhere on this platform! haha I keep seeing you on all the stuff I click. *Tips hat with a cheeky side-smile and a second of eye contact

@crowlsyong

Hey I'm not called The ALL Memeing Eye for nothing

Also I may be compulsively spending too much time on this platform

How do the leaderboards correspond to the profit numbers/graphs on people's profiles?

it's surely leaderboard, since it links it as the only thing in the description

Yes but I'm actually just trying to make sense of how manifold works, what numbers got multiplied by what...

Oh, I see. Ranked markets from before the 10x devaluation have their profits multiplied by 10 times on the leaderboard, compared to actual profits. unranked markets.. i think their profits got removed entirely from the leaderboard? or just not 10xed? I'm not sure.

This makes it so that if you look at the leaderboard it helps you get a sense of who forecasted real questions well, not just who won a whalebait market (a market whose resolution can be influenced by how much mana you put into it)

bought αΉ€100 YES

This should resolve, the profit now shoes over 1 million for 2 traders

This market was edited with no comment from 1 million to 10 million, I understand why, just leaving a comment here so my earlier comment doesn't look unhinged

bought αΉ€20 YES

@strutheo what happens if they bump everyone's total profit by 10X

bought αΉ€20 NO

bump

sold αΉ€1 YES

@strutheo does this count bugs / staff shenanigans / duplication exploits? like is the only requirement that they get to #1 in the leaderboard for any amount of time and have 10 million mana profits shown there?

@Bayesian no it has to be legitimate

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