Will a Nintendo character appear in Fortnite before Jan 1st 2026?
Will a Nintendo character appear in Fortnite before Jan 1st 2026?
Plus
16
Ṁ6462026
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Does Pokemon count as Nintendo? Nintendo is only part owner of The Pokemon Company. Last time I checked they had plurality stake but not majority.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Nintendo release a game with Waluigi in the title before 2026?
14% chance
Will Nintendo announce a new mainline Super Smash Bros. game before Jan 1st 2030?
90% chance
Will a new Super Smash Bros. game be released before 2026?
15% chance
Will there be a Fortnite and Simpsons crossover by EOY 2027?
60% chance
Will the One Piece x Fortnite collaboration happen in 2024?
4% chance
Will there be a Fortnite and American Dad crossover by EOY 2027?
99% chance
Will Palworld be playable on a Nintendo console before 2026?
14% chance
Will there be a One Piece collaboration with Fortnite by the end of 2026?
90% chance
Will Ganondorf be the main character in a game before 2028?
29% chance
Will a new Super Smash Bros. game be released before 2027?
95% chance