Will a player win a Super Smash Bros Melee major using a digital / leverless controller before January 1st 2026?
Will a player win a Super Smash Bros Melee major using a digital / leverless controller before January 1st 2026?
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Going by Liquipedia for which tournaments count as a Major unless there is noticeable community disagreement at the time
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bought Ṁ51 NO1y
Power to rectangle players, just don’t think any of them will win a major this year. Would LOVE to be proven wrong.
@Tripping it is notoriously hard to define what counts as a major, so i am open to ideas.
right now i would appeal to the wider community's general sentiment at the time of the digital controller player winning the event. if it is debatable, maybe through another poll 'does X event count as a major'
predictedNO
@strutheo I chose to define a major according to whatever Liquipedia decides in my market. It might be best to pick something concrete and specific like that ahead of time, even if it's not perfect
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What is Manifold?
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
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