🐲Will I Slay all 20 Top Creators by the end of 2024?
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Plus
156
Ṁ170k
resolved Dec 11
Resolved
YES
1 slain
2 slain
3 slain
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7 slain
8 slain
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BTE & FUH
Leaderboard Earthquake
Pivot announced
Leaderboard change again
14 slain
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Pivot
18 slain
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20 slain

I started Manifold back in November, and became a top 100 creator on my 40th day. Recently I just breached the top 20 on my 100th day. Now that I'm finally at the endgame, will I be able to overtake all 20 of the current leaderboard creators by the end of the year, despite having way less mana and history? Tune in to find out!

EDIT: Top 3 on 180th day!

EDIT: #2 on 330th day!

EDIT: #1 on 382nd day!

See: /strutheo/how-many-top-creators-will-i-slay-b

Link: https://manifold.markets/leaderboards

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The market will be resolved based on the profile numbers shown on individual creator profiles, not the numbers shown on the leaderboard page.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will be resolved based on the leaderboard page rankings, not individual profile numbers, even if there are discrepancies between the two.

Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Market will be resolved based on the leaderboard rankings, not individual profile numbers, as stated in 'oh well doesnt change much we were always using leaderboard for this market even when they kept changing it'

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Hey y’all I’m just catching up. Are @datachef and @BTE the same person?!

@NicoDelon hard to tell 🤔

@strutheo it would make so much sense

yes

Nevermind. They’re 💯 the same person. LOL.

You all did this for 3k mana?!?!? Best evidence yet that you are all Chris. How do you explain every user ignoring the HUGE incentives to bet no and make 10-20x that much?! How did not a single one of you at least try to make significant mana from thi market when it was so obviously possible? Why the fuck would so many of you risk so much mana for so little gain?!? Common sense says it’s because you are all just one or a few individuals. Or perhaps he paid you to bet on his markets. Either way this is so obviously not legit. Doubt very much anyone bothers to answer.

@datachef fwiw I considered it but it was just implausible that the NO side would win without lots of alts. BTE has way fewer open markets I'm guessing so was at a fundamental disadvantage, and had worse vibes so gets less support so loses the traders war every time. if anyone tried to fight back as early in the month as 11th of december, that'd just rally the other side lol

@datachef We have a new king now, let's show some respect.

@Predictor i threw the bouquet and predictor caught it 👀

@datachef a better question is why did you bet so much mana on NO, like, how did you expect a banned account to win this race lol

@Choms He is the banned account

@bagelfan I see your point but even being an alt, anyone should understand if the main account cannot post new questions, it's not going to win against the most active creator here

@Choms Probably a case of overconfidence. BTE thought he could pump up his numbers enough with alts (he did inflate his traders by around 1-2k).

reposted

IT IS DONE!!!

@strutheo thank you to everyone who aided my silly little quest. i certainly didnt expect it to happen this fast, but it became possible through a confluence of fates and friendships. a special shout out to my 20 forefathers who made this site the fun place it is today, and are role models to myself all future creators. i await the next challenger at the top of the mountain 🐲

Let us extend our most profound admiration to @strutheo, who has ascended with unparalleled distinction through the echelons of the Manifold leaderboard. His meteoric rise has solidified his position as one of the platform’s most venerated and illustrious contributors. Truly, the creators of the finest markets are the epitome of excellence among Manifold’s user base, and @strutheo has unequivocally demonstrated his rightful place among this elite cadre. Today we can celebrate in peace and harmony as we simultaneously mourn the fall from grace of the great saint @BTE the great.

@Predictor thank you sir, it has been an honor

fun fact youre the referrer on my account :)

@datachef

@mattyb says Hi:


Also, just for whatever it's worth, I want to clarify that my own concerns about your alts stemmed from their impact on the leaderboard and this market -- I wouldn't have cared otherwise. When you denied it and shifted the focus to the trader count in profiles, it only frustrated me further.

That said, I acknowledge that some of my messages were escalatory and uncalled for. In particular, the ad hominem attack was unnecessary, and I want to apologize for it.

Best wishes 🤝

dang bte and isaac were so far ahead of everyone else - 150 days from 3rd place to reach isaac, then another 50 days to bte

@strutheo Fuck yeah, that's awesome!

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 99.0% order

@snazzlePop @strutheo

screen grab with all 20:

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