Will Israel formally annex new territory during Trump's term?
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8
Ṁ82
2030
53%
chance

resolves yes if israel formally annexes any part of the disputed territories of palestine or neighboring countries

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How does this resolve if Syria recognizes Golan as Israeli? Israel annexed it in 1981, but there would be a massive amount of news articles saying that the Syrian recognition of the annexation is what counts.

Edit: same for the parts of Israel's capital that Jordan occupied between 1949 and 1967, which the Palestinians don't recognize as part of Israel (to the extent they even recognize any of it).

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