This market resolves to YES if evidence emerges that points to the alleged UnitedHealthCare CEO assassin, Luigi Mangione, being the operator of the https://x.com/mister_shroom Twitter/X account. This market is about whether the mister_shroom account was operated by Luigi Mangione, and will resolve YES or NO on this regardless as to whether Mr. Mangione is convicted of the assassination.
I have left the criteria to this market purposefully vague because I am not sure what evidence might emerge that could link the two. Some examples of linkage that would cause me to resolve the market include:
A personal friend or family member of the alleged assassin linking him with the account
Messages from the mister_shroom account being leaked that demonstrate the operator of that account to share multiple identifying features of Mr. Mangione, including work or school history, location, personal history, or name
Luigi Mangione himself saying "I am mister shroom" in court
1,000
3.00The alleged mister_shroom alt is starting to look sus.
They have not been able to post on the mister_shroom bluesky account.
But have made random other replies in the interim:
It's starting to look like this is an attempt by roon to take some of the heat off of tpot, possibly pointing to a larger conspiracy.
An account claiming to be mister_shroom has issued an official denial: https://x.com/backup_mycelium/status/1866681533731598435
https://x.com/loveofdoing/status/1866604644610257084
mister_cactus on Reddit - mister_shroom on Twitter?
So far there is limited evidence linking mister_shrooms to the alleged UnitedHealthCare CEO assassin.
mister_shrooms identified his first name as "Luigi": https://x.com/BasedDaedalus/status/1866289118617194532
While active on X, mister_shrooms expressed interest in several of the same topics as the alleged UnitedHealthCare CEO assassin, such as psychedelics, AI, and a generally abrasive attitude similar to the other public writing.
Finally, most damning, in the leaked mugshot picture, a mouse cursor is overlaid onto the image in the same place as an earring, similar to a previous mister_shrooms pfp (see attached).
Looks like an easy NO, but the creator is taking YES positions and the market has vague resolution criteria.
Eff that, man.
This market should resolve NO, the shooter’s Twitter account is https://x.com/PepMangione
@raizel Now I’m very curious to learn what made this Twitter account, with 1 following, 0 followers, and 0 posts in the last seven years, stand out to the market creator