Will a New York sports team win a championship by the end of the 2025 sports season?

Plus

Ṁ3260

2026

33%

chance

ALL

This market will resolve YES if one of the following major New York metropolitan area-based teams wins their respective championship by the conclusion of the 2025 NFL season (Latest Feb 9, 2026 – Super Bowl 60)

New York Mets – World Series
New York Yankees – World Series
New York Giants – Super Bowl
New York Jets – Super Bowl
New York Red Bulls – MLS Cup or Leagues Cup
New York City FC – MLS Cup or Leagues Cup
New York Nets – NBA Final
New York Knicks – NBA Final
New York Rangers – Stanley Cup
New York Islanders – Stanley Cup

The two New York football teams, although not physically based in the NY Metropolitan area, will be considered New York teams for the purpose of the market.

Other small-market teams, such as the WNBA's NY Liberty, MLR New York Rugby, or NLL Lacrosse will not be counted.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

2 Comments

24 Holders

34 Trades

Sort by:

Fun question, I will say though throwing in the soccer teams is shying me away from approaching this question as I know nothing about MLS (and I assume I'm not the only one). Will come back to later though.

First market on Manifold, not sure if I did everything right.

What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.

Learn more.

What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.

Learn more.

What is this?

Related questions

What is this?

Related questions