What will be Scott Alexander's P(zoonosis) at the end of 2024?
Plus
17
Ṁ3222Dec 31
15%
> 90%
73%
90%
10%
60% <= x < 90%
0.9%
40% <= x < 60%
1%
<40%
Resolves to the youngest public statement before the end of 31 dec 2024 SF time.
The current last statement is 90%.
see April market https://manifold.markets/warty/what-will-be-scott-alexanders-pzoon
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