When will Meta release Llama 5?
5
Ṁ125
2027

Invalid contract

Background

Meta’s Llama timeline so far:

  • Llama 1: February 2023

  • Llama 2: July 2023

  • Llama 3: April 2024 (with 3.1, 3.2, 3.3 releases through late 2024)

  • Llama 4: April 5, 2025

Given this roughly annual cadence, we’re testing whether Llama 5 will ship sooner or later.

Thresholds (each resolves YES/NO individually)

Each threshold resolves YES if Meta publicly releases Llama 5 before that date; otherwise it resolves NO as soon as the date passes without a release:

  1. January 1, 2026

  2. July 1, 2026

  3. January 1, 2027

  4. July 1, 2027

  5. January 1, 2028

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules