Will a second U.S. Supreme Court Justice publicly announce they are retiring any time during President Biden's first term in office?
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resolved Jan 28
Resolved
NO
This market will resolve yes if a U.S. Supreme Court Justice makes their own public announcement they are retiring while President Biden is still in office during his first term (up until January 20, 2025.) If a Justice dies or leaves the court in some other manner than retirement, this market will resolve no. If no Justice announces their own retirement, this market will resolve as no. If President Biden retires or is no longer President due to some other circumstance before the end of his first term and a Justice has not announced their retirement by that point, this market will resolve as no.
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@mods Resolves NO

On another topic, are you guys working on ways to prevent unresolved markets? I feel like any large market should have a better resolution process. (I've had to ask for way too many year end markets to be resolved)

@HillaryClinton

On another topic, are you guys working on ways to prevent unresolved markets?

Do you have suggestions?

I mean this as a genuine question—there are lots of constraints here but suggestions are always good. Any user can create a market, & many users leave the site, so a large number of unresolved markets are inevitable (i.e. "preventing" isn't relevant here, the only question is how to handle the backlog more quickly).

This market was added to the mod queue 1 day ago so I'd be surprised if any system could work much faster than that (given limited # of volunteer mods & the dozens of markets added to the queue per day) but again suggestions to improve the system are good.

(the main existing suggestion atm is a formal process built into the site to "propose" a resolution and then it gets auto-added to the mod queue if the creator doesn't reply in e.g. 48h, which would be great, although it'd require staff to spend time building that).

@Ziddletwix I think markets should auto resolve 48 hours after expiration, if the creator hasn't resolved it, and it's trading at <2% or >98%. (obvious outcome).

Then mods can reverse a hopefully small number of errors.

@mods no resolve

@AdamSiegel resolves NO

@HillaryClinton @mods resolve no

Last chance Sonya.

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