Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) in 2025?
11
Ṁ4962Dec 31
0.7%
150
1.5%
151
1.9%
152
1.3%
153
83%
154
3%
155
2%
156
1.5%
157
1.3%
158
1%
159
2%
https://epoch.ai/benchmarks/eci
Currently, the top score is GPT-5-Medium with 150.
In fact, the benchmark is normalized so that
claude-3-5-sonnet-20240620 has score 130
gpt-5-2025-08-07_medium has score 150
If this doesn't remain the case, this market will resolve N/A.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to the highest ECI for a model released in 2025.
See the version that ends in April 2026:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Best AI time horizon by August 2026, per METR?
Best Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) before May 2026?
Will DeepSeek V3.2 get >145 on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI)?
39% chance
Which AI will be the best at the end of 2025?
ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score
-
Best clockbench EOY 2025?
What will be the best score on Cybench by December 31st 2025?
What will be the best performance on EnigmaEval by December 31st 2025?
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
3% chance