When will DeepSeek release V4?
Plus
29
Ṁ57652026
36%
Before August 2025
56%
Before September 2025
70%
Before October 2025
76%
Before November 2025
82%
Before December 2025
Minor changes to the name, such as using "V5" instead of "V4", are acceptable when determining the release.
To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.
See also:
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt45-ULpyUuqd2L
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4 (this market)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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