Will the UK descend in to civil war before 2025? | Manifold

Will the UK descend in to civil war before 2025?

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Inspired by Elon’s tweet here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1819933223536742771?s=46&t=vV_dpuJm1mp8COD4AIOCjg

Resolves to true if there is civil war in the UK before 2025, defined as “a war between organized groups within the same state.”

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I wonder whats the actual probability though... 0.1%, 0.01%..

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