Which external power will have the largest military presence in Syria by May 1st 2025?
Plus
18
Ṁ1650May 1
6%
Russia
2%
Iran
5%
United States
71%
Turkey
10%
Israel
5%
Resolves based on estimated troop numbers from credible international media reports, and/or geographical area under foreign control.
Only considers regular military forces, not proxy groups or contractors.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): Military presence in internationally monitored buffer zones between Israel and Syria, as well as areas along the buffer zone controlled by Turkey, will be counted towards those countries' military presence.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@TimothyJohnson5c16 I think the simplest is to count the internationally monitored buffer zone between Israel and Syria, as well as the area along the buffer zone controlled by Turkey. What are your thoughts?
Related questions
Related questions
Which of these military conflicts will escalate to war in 2025?
Predictions about Syria in 2026
Will all US troops be out of Syria by July 31, 2025?
69% chance
Which country will be the 2nd largest arms exporter in the world in 2024?
Which cities will be controlled by the Syrian transitional government on February 1, 2025?
Turkey launches major ground offensive into Syria before March 1st 2025
65% chance
Will Bashar al-Assad survive 2025?
83% chance
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2024?
Which countries will increase the size of their nuclear warhead stockpile in 2025?