Will President Yoon finish his term in office?
Will President Yoon finish his term in office?
Plus
41
Ṁ5992resolved Apr 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to "yes" if President Yoon of South Korea finishes his term in office. It will resolve to "no" if it is not finished or does not start.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ607 | |
| 2 | Ṁ571 | |
| 3 | Ṁ468 | |
| 4 | Ṁ252 | |
| 5 | Ṁ58 |
Sort by:
@EnopoletusHarding he is officially removed from office as of April 4th, so should resolve no https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgkje35gd3eo.amp
@EnopoletusHarding he is still president now, but no-one really thinks he will survive the next year
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Trump leaves office before end of second term?
33% chance
Will Trump finish his second term?
72% chance
Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?
75% chance
Will the president of South Korea 🇰🇷 Yoon Suk Yeol be convicted of insurrection?
50% chance
Will the next president (of the USA) last the full term?
79% chance
Will Donald Trump serve full term as the President of the USA?
78% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
88% chance
Will the next elected President of the USA serve the full term?
77% chance
Will the Korean War End During Trump's Presidency?
16% chance
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he leave office before the end of his term?
19% chance