What will be true about the drones observed near U.S. Air Force bases in the UK by the end of 2024?
Basic
15
Ṁ576
Jan 1
64%
The origin and purpose of the drones remain officially unidentified
57%
More similar incursions will be reported by major news outlets during December in the UK
49%
The drones were confirmed to be operated by a foreign state actor
41%
The drones were confirmed to be part of an authorized military exercise
18%
The drones were confirmed to be operated by civilian hobbyists
14%
Clear photos of such drones will be published by major news outlets
4%
The drones were confirmed to be operated by non human intelligence

Between November 20 and 22, 2024, unidentified drones were detected over or near U.S. Air Force bases RAF Lakenheath, RAF Mildenhall, and RAF Feltwell in eastern England. The origin and purpose of these drones remain unknown, prompting investigations by U.S. and UK authorities. 1

Resolution Criteria:

This market will resolve based on official statements from U.S. or UK authorities, credible news organizations, or other reliable sources confirming the origin and purpose of the drones.

Participants are encouraged to provide sources and reasoning for their trades in the comments section.


  1. US Air Force in UK says drones have been spotted flying over bases in England

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