Will a disaster occur related to the "drones" before end of 2024?
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The US government's official stance on the spreading drones is that "there is no evidence they pose a threat." So, are they telling the truth, or, is the statement carefully worded to only be true about the drones themselves?
This market will resolve to YES if one hundred or more people are killed in an incident related to the "drones." Such disasters may include:
The drones themselves deploy weapons and kill people
The drones are searching for something bad that causes casualties
The drones are from an adversary who declares war or they cause retaliation
The drones create panic and riots
Otherwise, if time expires, it will resolve to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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