Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?
Plus
4
Ṁ10002034
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Given the movement in conservative circles towards greater fertility, and general angst among politicos regarding declining birthrates, it is feasible that our politicians and/or cultural influencers find some methods to encourage fertility in the US, and we see an increase in birthrates back to replacement. Will this happen in the next decade?
Current projections provided no interventions:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the fertility rate of South Korea increase from 2023 to 2025?
25% chance
Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?
80% chance
Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
42% chance
Will US fertility rates go above 2 births per woman before 2030?
11% chance
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?
44% chance
Will US birth rates rise above 2.0 at any point before 2030?
13% chance
Will Japanese Total Fertility be below 1.2 by 2030?
62% chance
When will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level?
Will any EU country achieve fertility rate >=2.0 by the end of 2032?
21% chance
Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
40% chance