Will any jurisdiction legalise the production and sale of cocaine by 2025?
Will any jurisdiction legalise the production and sale of cocaine by 2025?
Plus
24
Ṁ1176Dec 31
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
To what extent are we talking here? Australia, Canada, and the United States have all legalized the cultivation and sale of cocaine for medical use for instance.
@JamesColiar Must be available for commercial production and sale, similar to fully legal cannabis.
Will any jurisdiction legalise the production and sale of cocaine by 2025?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Mexico formally legalize cannabis by the end of 2025?
43% chance
Which country will be the first to legalize and regulate recreational cocaine?
Will a US state pass legislation making Psilocybin legal for recreational use before the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will any country legalize recreational use of opioids before 2045?
46% chance
Will any country legalize recreational use of opioids before 2030?
24% chance
Will any country legalize recreational use of opioids before 2028?
13% chance
Will any country legalize recreational use of benzodiazepines before 2045?
39% chance
Will any country legalize recreational use of opioids before 2036?
27% chance
Will legal international trade in recreational cannabis happen before 2034?
76% chance
Will any country legalize recreational use of benzodiazepines before 2028?
19% chance