Who will be first to AGI | Manifold

Who will be first to AGI

Plus

37

Ṁ1621

2050

31%

OpenAI

9%

Microsoft

6%

Meta

4%

Huggingface/homegrown

28%

Google

12%

US government

5%

China government

1.7%

Russia government

1.8%

Apple

1.9%

AGI is impossible

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Missing DeepSeek

Huffing the copium

Does it resolve to AGI is impossible if AGI is possible but not achieved by 2050?

@ProjectVictory Yes

There are a few answers >10% that are missing

What happens if multiple work together?

Would "other" be worthy of being an option?

@Quroe the question is which of these companies will be first out of these companies listed

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+4% 1d66% chance

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