Can Democrats keep the Senate if they lose the presidency?
Premium
61
แน31kresolved Nov 7
Resolved
N/AIf the Dem Nom beats Trump, Jon Tester wins the Montana Senate race
Resolved
N/AIf the Dem Nom beats Trump, Sherrod Brown wins the Ohio Senate Race
Resolved
NOIf the Dem Nom loses to Trump, Jon Tester wins the Montana Senate race
Resolved
NOIf Dem Nom loses to Trump, Sherrod Brown wins the Ohio Senate Race
Control of the senate may come down to whether Democratic senators Tester and Brown can hold their senate seats.
This is an unlinked market of conditional statements, to measure the odds of these candidates winning their races depending on if Biden does or does not win the presidency. Options will resolve N/A if the base condition is not met.
Note: Presumptive candidates are listed in this market, but if the actual nominees turn out to be someone different they will be used instead. For example, If Kamala Harris is the nominee she will be edited in to all options instead of Biden.
For more information and arbitrage, you can also check out the Key Races dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?
68% chance
Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030?
58% chance
Will Democrats control the U.S. Senate at the start of the 119th U.S. Congress?
1% chance
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
16% chance
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
16% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
15% chance
Will Democrats regain a House majority between elections?
16% chance
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?