Will there a major change in the election of MPs before 2030? What is the political result at the next election?
Basic
2
Ṁ402030
26%
Labour Majority - Yes
28%
Labour Majority - No
15%
No Majority - Yes
8%
No Majority - No
8%
Conservative Majority - Yes
15%
Conservative Majority - No
Change at least as large as Alternative Vote or larger
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Which people will be elected U.S. president before 2033?
Will there be a major change to the US political system by the end of 2035?
72% chance
Will there be huge immigration reform in the UK before 2030? What is the political result at the next election?
Will a new party be elected to NZ Parliament by 2030?
24% chance
What will be true of the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia?
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
29% chance
Will the UK have a millennial Prime Minister before 2033?
30% chance
In the next Scottish Parliamentary Election, due in 2026, what %age of the seats will each party win?
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
39% chance