Will over 100 North Korean troops be reported to illegally enter South Korea in 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ972Feb 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Excludes peaceful/invited entry. Single incident. Resolves yes if it is reported in multiple sources that over 100 NK troops have entered SK at the same time.
Update 2025-02-01 (PST): - Resolution deadline extended to the end of the month to allow time for any crossings in 2024 to be reported on. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will at least one North Korean soldier defect to any European country before March 1, 2025?
35% chance
Will North Korea invade South Korea by 2035?
23% chance
Will North Korea attempt to invade South Korea before 2035?
25% chance
Will North Korean troops intentionally enter South Korea by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will there be a full-scale war between North Korea and South Korea by 2050?
22% chance
Will any North Korean soldier defect after being deployed in Ukraine by 2026?
88% chance
Will North Korea engage in an active military conflict before 2026?
92% chance
Will changes to South Korea's mandatory military service be announced by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will North Korea officially declare war on another country by the end of 2025?
4% chance