Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2025 ?
Basic
11
Ṁ480
2026
13%
chance

So far two interstellar objects have been observed inside the solar system, 1I/'Oumuamua in 2017 and 2I/Borisov in 2019.

Will a new object designated with an I number be observed during 2025 ?

If the object is observed in 2025 but only receives the I designation at a later date, this will resolve YES. The market will remain open for a few months in 2026 for this reason, especially if there are likely candidates.

Interstellar Meteors (designated by IM) do not count for this market.

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bought Ṁ20 YES

Praying for no Vera Rubin delays

bought Ṁ200 NO

xkcd.com/955 applies for me here

@jks I mean... the base rate is like 2 per decade or so

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