Who will be 007 after Daniel Craig?
Who will be 007 after Daniel Craig?
Basic
41
Ṁ23k2028
20%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
16%
Henry Cavill
13%
11%
James Norton
9%
Damson Idris
4%
Regé-Jean Page
4%
Richard Madden
3%
Tom Hardy
3%
Idris Elba
1.9%
Tom Hiddleston
1.9%
Paul Mescal
1.5%
Robert Pattinson
1.5%
Aidan Turner
1.1%
Jacob Elordi
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Darn, I missed you'd setup this. I'd searched for "James Bond" rather than 007 when I looked what was there already, so I made a half duplicate (though the pre-selected answers I put in were different):
https://manifold.markets/ParadoxRain/who-will-be-the-next-james-bond-94b914e2e57b
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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