Will Iran launch a significant drone attack on Saudi Arabia before 2025?
Basic
11
Ṁ428Mar 5
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has launched an attack including at least 12 drones within a period of 48 hours on the territory of Saudi Arabia. This must occur between April 14th 2024 and December 31st 2024.
A drone attack on a Saudi embassy or consulate outside of Saudi Arabia is excluded in the context of this question.
Related question for embassies/consulates:
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