This market considers all lunar landers launched in 2025. If a mission is launched in 2025, but attempts to land after 2025, it still counts for this market. For a landing to count as successful, it needs to land as intended and be able to transmit to Earth, so, for example, IM-1 landing on the side does not count and would be considered a failure. A mission counts as launched for this market the moment it detaches from its lift vehicle, so for example a rocket failure during ascent that isn't attributable to its payload would not count, however something happening to the lander during transit to moon like what happened to Peregrine Mission One would count as a failure for this market.

Successes:

• Blue Ghost Mission 1, landing March 2

Failures:

• IM-2 'Athena'

Lundar landers already launched and en-route to the moon:

• Hakuto-R Mission 2

Lunar landers that are aiming for a 2025 launch date, that I'm aware of:

• Blue Moon Mark 1 pathfinder

• IM-3

• Griffin Mission 1

• Starship HLS demo

• Beresheet 2

  If the total number of launches is odd, more than half must succeed for a YES resolution, so, for example, 5 launches would require at least 3 successful landings. Please notify me if there are more lunar landers planned for 2025 that I'm not aware of! The earliest resolution date for this market is January 1, 2026.