Trump makes another false claim before March 22, 2025 about Ukraine starting the war.
Basic
18
Ṁ2267Mar 22
1.4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on Trump's recent pattern of false statements about Ukraine, particularly his statement on Tuesday 18th February that Ukraine "should never have started" the war with Russia, this market predicts whether he will AGAIN falsely claim Ukraine started the war. Resolution source: Factcheck.org, BBC Verify & Major news outlets covering Trump's speeches/interviews.
Market resolves YES if Trump makes such a claim, NO if he doesn't by the close date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire in Trump's First 90 Days?
3% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 weeks of his inauguration?
16% chance
Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
3% chance
Who will falsely claim that Ukraine started the war in 2025? (Add answers)
Will Trump revoke the temporary legal status of Ukrainian refugees in 2025 before the war has ended?
50% chance
If Trump is elected U.S. President in 2024, when will the Russia-Ukraine war end?
Given Russia-Ukraine War does not end in 2025, will Trump withhold significant support from Ukraine
91% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
10% chance
War in Ukraine ends by May 9, 2025?
10% chance
Will US attack Ukraine in 2025?
4% chance