Iran leave the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2025?
8
Ṁ248Dec 31
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
If no such notification is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Related: https://manifold.markets/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-formally-leave-the-8asrgfzza7?r=Ymg
Also one of the prop bets here (currently way higher than either of these other two): https://manifold.markets/Lemming/israeliran-2025-war-prop-bets?r=Ymg
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