
United States Recession by End of Q2?
Plus
8
Ṁ1991Sep 25
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters. Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@creator Given that the end date is 9/25/2025, I assume this has to be Q1 and Q2 on 2025? (Assuming the third estimate for Q4 of 2024 doesn't suddenly become negative)
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
66% chance
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
49% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
64% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
42% chance
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
58% chance
Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
83% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
63% chance
US Recession in 2025?
66% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
7% chance
US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)
4% chance