By 2042, will the population of Anopheles gambiae be less than 1% of its current population, or will its range be less than 1% of its current range.
Basic
7
Ṁ51
2042
46%
chance

Resolves YES if this happens at any point before 2042 (and will resolve immediately at that point).

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predictedYES

Would this be due to a gene drive-type eradication of malaria effort?

@ian That would certainly count, but so would a USA style chemical eradication effort would also count, as would any major climactic disruption that incidentally wipes out mosquitoes (climate change, nuclear war, etc)

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