Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
Resolves as YES if we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China.
AGI questions:
Will we get AGI before 2025?NO
Will we get AGI before 2026?4%
Will we get AGI before 2027?15%
Will we get AGI before 2028?33%
Will we get AGI before 2029?56%
Will we get AGI before 2030?62%
Will we get AGI before 2031?62%
Will we get AGI before 2032?64%
Will we get AGI before 2033?68%
Will we get AGI before 2034?73%
Will we get AGI before 2035?74%
Will we get AGI before 2036?74%
Will we get AGI before 2037?76%
Will we get AGI before 2038?77%
Will we get AGI before 2039?78%
Will we get AGI before 2040?78%
Will we get AGI before 2041?81%
Will we get AGI before 2042?82%
Will we get AGI before 2043?82%
Will we get AGI before 2044?83%
Will we get AGI before 2045?84%
Will we get AGI before 2046?85%
Will we get AGI before 2047?83%
Will we get AGI before 2048?90%
Xi Jinping questions:
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2024?YES
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2025?89%
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2026?80%
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2027?74%
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?60%
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2029?71%
Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2030?62%
Other questions:
Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?50%
Will we get AGI before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?40% (this question)
Will we get AGI before a human walks on the Moon again?33%
Will we get AGI before a human walks on Mars?69%
Will we get AGI before we get room temperature superconductors?83%
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