Will we get AGI before we get fusion reactors?
➕
Plus
72
Ṁ4040
2100
57%
chance

Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.

Resolves as YES if such a system is created before we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Numeric markets:

/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors

AGI questions:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2030

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2031

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2032

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2034

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2036

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2037

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2038

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2039

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2040

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2041

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2042

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2043

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2044

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048

Fusion questions:

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-99b4d79ded14

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-600c021a4d39

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-0f87d48233f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-02fec46476dd

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a34a5044ccca

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d778d2f304f5

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-607391b6e7ff

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-9594f28b5777

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-c3873b782b65

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-8213a4d4f7e6

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-ca980dd1dca2

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-719c22dafd13

Other reference points for AGI:

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-discover

/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio (this question)

Other reference points for fusion reactors:

/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-585b179f8ac3

Engineering breakeven is defined here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fusion_energy_gain_factor#Engineering_breakeven

The fusion reactor must have been built by human civilization or one of its descendants in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Is there news this is reacting to?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules