Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)
Plus
34
Ṁ26622049
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves by polling on Jan 1, 2050 whatever superintelligences I think are trustworthy, or polling the rationalist community if there are none. I will ask the question in the title and resolve to the majority opinion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
48% chance
When will we know that COVID-19 came from a laboratory? [Unlinked Multiple Choice Derivative of Existing Market]
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
28% chance
Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?
30% chance
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
Will the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
7% chance
Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?
23% chance
Did/will H5N1 come from a laboratory?
16% chance
(When) will we know if COVID came from a laboratory?
2038
Where did COVID-19 come from